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April 23, 2008

Fooling Some of the People All of the Time

Very interesting story from the Wall Street Journal about David Einhorn's dealing as a short seller of Allied Capital.

It is a surprisingly dark story, in which Mr. Einhorn's usual winning touch vanishes for most of the narrative.

As he struggles to figure out why, he appears naïve at certain times, petulant at others. But he presses on anyway, confident that vindication will come. It never really does.

The story starts in 2002, with Mr. Einhorn rightly proud of his ability to spot companies with shoddy accounting practices. He sells their shares short, betting on a stock-price collapse.

Generally he wins big within months. Convinced that he has found another juicy target, he zeroes in on Allied Capital, a business- financing company that seems to dawdle when it comes to marking down the value of its troubled loans.

This book appears to be well worth reading, for its discussion of how the market for accounting fraud - short selling- doesn't work.

This might be bad news for Barry Minkow, who is currently shortselling Herbal Life arguing that their business model is based on a fraud.

The forward to the book is written by Joel Greenblatt - a noted investor who has his own fascinating no brainer or lounge chair investment strategy.

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April 10, 2008

Confessions of a Serial Entrepreneur


From Fortune 2004, Skorman talking about the beginning of Elephant Pharmacy,

"Stuart Skorman has a penchant for sitting on the floor during meetings, contorting his frame like a yogi, and uncapping his black felt-tip pen to scrawl his latest spark of insight onto a wrinkled piece of scratch paper.

Between founding companies--four so far--he has ridden his bike cross-country and spent a year and a half swimming with dolphins. He has meditated in monasteries and traded commodities.

For two years Skorman even played professional poker. "You had to make decisions in seconds," says Skorman, 55, with a smile. "If you hesitated for a moment, your opponent knew exactly what you had. You had already lost."

Three years later, Skorman talks about both Elephant and going broke in the prescription business.

"Skorman's strategy--now carried over to Elephant--was to sell not just products but information.

Customers could read film reviews and find movies grouped not only by genre but also by theme and director."

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